Matt Holliday
Full Name: Matthew Thomas Holliday
Born: January 1,1980 Place: Stillwater, Oklahoma
Position: LF
Height: 6-4 Weight: 235
Bats: R Throws: R
High School: Stillwater (Stillwater,OK) College:
Drafted: Selected by the Colorado Rockies in the 7th round (210th overall) of the 1998 amateur entry draft. (June-Reg phase)
Obviously, Matt Holliday has grown into the star we here at RoxHead predicted he would turn into. It didn't take a genius to see this, however, our words certainly fell on a lot of deaf ears the last few years. During the 2006 season, Holliday not only played in his first All-Star game but he also joined the exclusive 'Honorary Blake Street Bomber' membership when he surpassed the 30 homer mark.
Not all the time do you see a player step up to the challenges presented before him and it's not easy to hit fourth in a lineup, so to have Holliday really excel at the job certainly makes the top of the Rockies lineup more respectable.
Of course the main problem when thinking of Holliday and the Rockies in terms of a long-term relationship, you must consider the Scott Boras factor. Boras is the toughest sports agent out there and sometimes appears to the public as a insincere buffoon that only looks at sports teams as a means to grab as much cash as he can for his clients despite what it can do to the teams abilities to field a team. Because of this unfortunate variable, we don't see Matt being here for much longer than his service time will allow, which is after the 2009 season.
With that in mind, lets hope that his impending fortune will continue to motivate him to produce huge numbers which can only help the Rockies, right? Look for his average to settle in around the .325 mark while his homer total may increase slightly into the mid thirties or so. His RBI total is more contingent on other factors but it should fall into the 120-140 range if he continues hitting 4th behind Garrett Atkins.
YEAR G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB BB SO SB CS OBP SLG AVG
2004 121 400 65 116 31 3 14 57 195 31 86 3 3 .349 .488 .290
2005 125 479 68 147 24 7 19 87 242 36 79 14 3 .361 .505 .307
2006 155 602 119 196 45 5 34 114 353 47 110 10 5 .387 .586 .326
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Career 401 1481 252 459 100 15 67 258 790 114 275 27 11 .368 .533 .310
2006 Salary $550,000. Fourth year of a four-year contract with $50,000 prorated buyouts on options for 2006 and 2007. Incentives: 250, 300 and 350 plate appearances, $50,000 each; 400 plate appearances, $100,000; 60 days on the active major-league roster, $200,000; 120 days on the active ML roster, $250,000; 180 days on the active ML roster, $300,000; All-Star, $25,000; Gold Glove, $25,000; Silver Slugger, $50,000; NL MVP, $100,000; division series MVP, $50,000; LCS MVP, $75,000; World Series MVP, $100,000.
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2006 RoxHead analysis
Through the course of the last couple years RoxHead has read many things in print about Holliday. For the most part, the writers do not think much of him. Their logic always refers back to his "numbers". His minor league average was .276. He never hit more than 16 homers in a season and never more than 72 RBI. His big league numbers don't excite one either. In nearly 900 at bats, Matt has only 33 homers and 144 RBI. His career average is almost .299.
However, very seldom do you read what one can see with their baseball eye. Most people, who know very little about the guts of the game, think they can project out what a player will be by looking at the numbers (i.e. the writers at baseballprospectus.com). Without really seeing the subject live and in person, they make judgments and then spout on about what they think their ultimate wisdom tells them. And for the most part, many think Matt Holliday will have a brief career and that some other prospect down in low A ball projects to be much better for the good of the Rockies.
Well, Rox Head.com is here to tell you all that Matt Holliday will be playing leftfield in Coors Field for the next ten years or so (unless his new agent, Scott Boras, screws that up and besides the fact that Holliday's contract ends after this season, he is also arbitration-eligible for three years so the Rockies aren't bidding against other teams for his services). Folks, this guy is a stud and there's no knocking him out of that spot unless he suffers some kind of injury or something unforeseen like that. Holliday has power that the numbers don't reflect. He has that air of confidence scouts love to see in a major leaguer and of course he has a God given major league look to him that old tyme scouts drool over.
A quote from and ex-Rockie makes a point about Holliday's power potential:
"I have heard his swing is too level, but I wouldn't change a thing," Jeromy Burnitz
said. "As he strong as he is, as he gets older and more comfortable with his
approach, he's going to hit more and more mistakes out."
Most baseball people will tell you that Holliday will project to hit homers in the mid 20's and have an average around .290 to .300. The RBI total will, of course, depend upon his homer total mainly because that number will determine his spot in the batting order. If his homer total creeps over 30, then look for him to be slotted into the cleanup position which will boost his RBI numbers up over 115 per year. If those homers stay in the 20's, then he'll bat 5th or 6th, which will lower his RBI numbers into the 100 to 115 range. It's pretty much as simple as that but either way you look at it, Matt Holliday will be roaming leftfield for the Colorado Rockies until the year 2015 at the very least.